The people of the Democratic Republic of
Congo will be heading to the polls come 20th December 2023 to elect a president
who will lead the country for the next 5 years. Approximately 44
million registered voters from a population of roughly 102 million are
expected to participate in this very important exercise to elect a president, members
of the national legislature, as well as local councillors. With few days to the
election, the African Elections Project provides an overview of all there is to
know about the upcoming general elections in Congo.
Who are the Main Candidates?
In all, 24
candidates have been cleared by the Independent National Electoral
Commission (CENI) to contest the upcoming election. However, analysts predict
that the race will be keenly contested among 4 contestants. They are: Incumbent
President Felix Tshisekedi, former Oil Executive Martin Fayulu, former Katanga
Governor Moise Katumbi, and Nobel Prize-Winning Gynaecologist Dr Dennis
Mukwege.
How does the Electoral System work?
The Democratic Republic of the Congo uses
the first-past-the-post voting system for its presidential elections. This
means that the candidate who receives the most votes in the first round is
declared the winner and becomes the next president.
The president is mandated by law to serve a
five-year term, renewable only once. This year's presidential election will be
combined with the election of members for both the national and provincial
parliaments, as well as local councillors.
When will the results be declared?
According to the electoral laws, provisional
results are expected to be announced on December 31, however, the possibility
of an earlier release exists if the results are ready ahead of schedule, although
historical precedent shows that the Independent National Electoral Commission
(CENI) traditionally prefers to wait until the counting of votes is completed
across the country before officially declaring the winner.
How many people are expected to vote?
According to the CENI close to 44 million
people are expected to cast their ballot on the election day.
What are the key issues for voters?
Voters face a complex array of issues
influencing their choices at the polls. Paramount among these is the urgent need
for poverty reduction. Despite the world’s
largest producer of cobalt and the third largest producer of copper, poverty is
still very prevalent in DRC, with about 60% of the population living on less
than $2.15
a day, according to the World Bank.
Corruption is also widespread, although the
government established an anticorruption watchdog under President Tshisekedi.
In the 2022 Transparency International Corruption Perception Index, DRC ranked
166 out of 180 countries.
Insecurity
also remains a key issue in the Congolese election, with over 120 armed groups
causing widespread violence and displacing millions for three decades. The
withdrawal of UN
peacekeeping forces and ineffective regional
deployments heighten the risk of conflict and regional tensions.
Who is Likely to Win?
With the opposition divided, analysts expect
that incumbent President Tshisekedi is better-positioned to win the election.
As a single-round contest, the best opportunity to challenge the incumbent
president lies in a united opposition, which is considerably absent among the
Congolese opposition with several contenders. Tshisekedi's incumbency and access
to state resources makes him a formidable candidate going into Wednesday’s
election.
Follow the African Elections Project on
Twitter and Facebook @Africanelection for more updates.
Africanelections.org