Written by Justin Tusoe
Comoros, an Island in the Indian Ocean is
gearing up for its presidential elections set for January 14, 2024. A second round is scheduled for February 25, if no
candidate gets more than 50% of the votes.
The current
President, Azali Assoumani, who doubles as the Chairperson of the African Union
has been cleared by the country’s Supreme Court to seek re-election.
The country, with a
population of over 800,000 people last held its presidential elections in
2019 which saw President Assoumani emerge as the winner. The election led to
protests from the opposition which alleged irregularities.
In this year’s election, at least 340,000
people are expected to cast their ballot for a presidential election in which
six candidates are vying for the top post, according to a list approved by the
Supreme Court.
Presidential
Candidates
The
Supreme Court has granted clearance to six candidates, allowing them to
participate in the upcoming presidential elections. They are: Azali Assoumani, the current president of Comoros and leader of
the Convention for the Renewal of the Comoros; Salim
Issa Abdillah, a medical doctor and leader of
the Juwa political party; Mohamed
Soilihi, former governor and leader of the Comoros Democratic Rally for Equality;
Aboudou Soefo, a
former
Minister of Foreign Affairs and leader of the Tsasi movement; Daoudou Abdallah
Mohammed, a former Minister of Interior and flagbearer of the Orange party; and
Bourhane Hamidou, the only independent candidate among the six running in this
year's Comorian election.
Comoros’s
Electoral System
The President is elected
to serve a five-year term through the two-round system. In the past, the
presidency of Comoros used a rotational system among the three Indian Ocean
Islands (Anjouan, Grande Comore, and Mohéli) every five years. This approach
was implemented to prevent frequent coups allowing only candidates from one of
the three Islands to contest in the presidential elections at the end of every
term.
When it was Island's
turn to hold the presidency, the first round was held on that island, with the
top three candidates progressing to a nationwide second round.
However, in 2018, this rotation system
was overturned by a constitutional referendum that instituted a standard
two-round system.
The referendum also allowed the incumbent
President Assoumani to run for another term. This amendment led to violent
protests and an armed uprising in Anjouan in October 2018, quelled by the
military after several days.
Issues voters will
consider
There are a number of issues which will shape
this year’s election in Comoros. High cost of living is a major concern among
Comorians, making access to basic necessities difficult for many residents.
Also, basic amenities
like electricity and running water are unavailable in many parts of the
country.
Poverty is a major
problem in Comoros, with about half of the population living below the poverty
line according to the World Bank. This alarming figure shows the
urgent need for concrete actions from the next president to improve the living
conditions of Comorians.
Opposition concerns
Some members of the opposition
have threatened to boycott the election due to concerns about lack of
transparency in the electoral process. They are insisting that authorities
release former leader Ahmed Abdallah Sambi (who is serving a life sentence) and
all other political prisoners.
Furthermore, they are advocating
for a restructuring of the electoral body to ensure its independence.
Notable
opposition figures calling for the boycott of Sunday’s election include the
main opposition leader, Mohamed Ali Soilihi who is currently living in exile in
France.
Who
will win the election?
Analysts predict a closely contested race between the incumbent President Azali Assoumani and the opposition candidate Salim Issa Abdillah. However, Assoumani’s position as the incumbent president, coupled with the support of security and other state agencies, is expected to contribute to his eventual victory in the election.
Editing by: Peter Agbesi Adivor and Emmanuel Koranteng Asomani
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the African Elections Project on Facebook and Twitter @Africanelection for more updates.
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